41%
of resale sales went under contract inside 14 days
95 of 231 sales, at 100% of original ask
48 days
median wait for the sales that missed the first two weeks
136 sales, closing at 95.7% of original ask
43 of 86
resale homes for sale in Salmon Creek have been listed more than 60 days
as of 2026-09-14
In Salmon Creek, a home either sells in the first two weeks or it becomes a different listing. 41% of the resale homes that closed in the last twelve months went under contract inside fourteen days, at 100% of what they first asked. The ones that didn’t waited a median of 48 days more and gave up 4.3% to get there.
There is no gradual middle. The share of sellers who had to cut their price goes from 35% in weeks three and four to 87% past two months and 97% past four. The market decides in the first fourteen days, and after that it corrects the price whether the seller agrees or not. This study walks through what the last twelve months of MLS data say about that split, and what it takes to be on the fast side of it.
Detached resale sales in 98686, 2025-09-14 to 2026-09-14, by cumulative days from listing to accepted offer. "Closed at" is the median sale price as a share of the original asking price.
It isn’t the market
The easy explanation for a home that sits is that buyers aren’t buying. In Salmon Creek, they are.
- The market as a whole is moving. 27% of resale listings under $1M have an accepted offer right now. In the $685K–$840K band, where most of Salmon Creek’s move-up homes sit, it’s 34%. Those are healthy numbers.
- The asking prices aren’t far off. Homes for sale in that band are asking $285 per foot; the ones that closed did so at $280. That’s a 2% gap, not a chasm. The problem isn’t that Salmon Creek sellers are wildly high. It’s that a little high costs the same as a lot high.
- The fast side isn’t luck. Of the 95 homes that went under contract inside two weeks, 98% never changed their price. They were priced at the closed comps on day one, and the market said yes on day one.
The first price is the price
Across every resale sale in 98686 over the last twelve months, homes that never reduced their price closed at 100% of the original ask in a median of 7 days. Homes that cut at least once closed at 93.8% after 84 days. About 39% of sellers ended up in the second group, and the median cut was 5.0%.
100%
of original ask, 7 days
140 sales priced right the first time
93.8%
of original ask, 84 days
91 sales that reduced at least once
On a typical $750,000 Salmon Creek home, the slow side costs about $33,000 and two extra months. That’s not the market punishing anyone. It’s the market waiting for the number it had already settled on, while the listing ages and every new buyer’s agent sees the days-on-market count before they see the kitchen.
Relisting doesn’t reset the clock either. The 19 homes that sold this year after a previous listing expired or was cancelled showed a median 48 days on the MLS, but had really been for sale for 212 days. They closed at 90.9% of their original ask.
What this means if you’re selling in Salmon Creek
- 1
Price for the first fourteen days, not for the negotiation.
The instinct is to leave room. The data says the room is what puts a home on the slow side. The homes that closed at full price were the ones that asked the closed-comp number from the start.
- 2
Day fourteen is a decision, not a milestone.
If the offers aren’t there by then, the market has answered. Something about the listing has to change, and the data says one early adjustment beats three late ones by about 4.3% of the price.
- 3
If you’re already past day sixty, the history is the problem now.
A relist doesn’t hide the cumulative days from buyers’ agents. The way back is a number that reads as new rather than as a cut, and a launch that gives it a real first two weeks.
How this was built
Source: RMLS listing data for zip code 98686, detached single-family homes only, pulled 2026-09-14. Closed and off-market sets cover 2025-09-14 through 2026-09-14. “Resale” excludes listings flagged new, under construction, or proposed. “Under contract” is pending listings divided by active plus pending listings on the pull date. Price bands are the Altos Research quartile cuts for the same week, so they match the segment table on the Vancouver market page.
Days to an accepted offer use cumulative days on market where the MLS records it, so a relisted home carries its full history. “Closed at” is the sale price as a share of the first asking price, not the last one. No addresses, agents, or brokerages are identified anywhere in this study.
The same two-week split shows up in Camas, where Salmon Creek’s neighbor to the east has a second finding of its own. Both studies are updated as the market does.